Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 2.302100e-05 2.774848e-05 0.000033 0.000039 0.000046 0.000053 0.000061
2025-06-08 1.686577e-05 2.283426e-05 0.000030 0.000039 0.000049 0.000061 0.000076
2025-06-15 1.273381e-05 1.918024e-05 0.000027 0.000038 0.000051 0.000067 0.000088
2025-06-22 9.433207e-06 1.582078e-05 0.000024 0.000036 0.000052 0.000071 0.000097
2025-06-29 6.856177e-06 1.287324e-05 0.000022 0.000034 0.000052 0.000074 0.000104
2025-07-06 4.883534e-06 1.035936e-05 0.000019 0.000032 0.000050 0.000075 0.000109
2025-07-13 3.745174e-06 8.902202e-06 0.000017 0.000031 0.000051 0.000079 0.000117
2025-07-20 2.907948e-06 7.758389e-06 0.000016 0.000031 0.000052 0.000082 0.000125
2025-07-27 2.402332e-06 7.110945e-06 0.000016 0.000031 0.000055 0.000088 0.000136
2025-08-03 2.285442e-06 7.232203e-06 0.000017 0.000034 0.000060 0.000098 0.000154
2025-08-10 1.829784e-06 6.495230e-06 0.000016 0.000033 0.000062 0.000103 0.000163
2025-08-17 1.238670e-06 5.230569e-06 0.000014 0.000031 0.000060 0.000102 0.000165
2025-08-24 7.658274e-07 4.139981e-06 0.000012 0.000030 0.000059 0.000105 0.000174
2025-08-31 5.045593e-07 3.488940e-06 0.000012 0.000029 0.000061 0.000111 0.000188
2025-09-07 3.102108e-07 2.883674e-06 0.000011 0.000029 0.000063 0.000116 0.000201
2025-09-14 1.593662e-07 2.234817e-06 0.000010 0.000028 0.000062 0.000119 0.000211
2025-09-21 6.592806e-08 1.647756e-06 0.000008 0.000026 0.000061 0.000120 0.000218
2025-09-28 1.966095e-08 1.162340e-06 0.000007 0.000024 0.000059 0.000120 0.000223
2025-10-05 5.795212e-09 9.060954e-07 0.000006 0.000023 0.000060 0.000124 0.000234
2025-10-12 1.103505e-09 7.141763e-07 0.000006 0.000023 0.000061 0.000129 0.000246
2025-10-19 1.585610e-10 6.133816e-07 0.000006 0.000023 0.000063 0.000136 0.000262
2025-10-26 8.930562e-11 6.422135e-07 0.000006 0.000025 0.000070 0.000150 0.000289
2025-11-02 1.627817e-16 5.226852e-07 0.000006 0.000025 0.000071 0.000155 0.000303